Saturday, September 24, 2005

 

REITs

Updating in Progress...... 26-Mar-06

Note :

  1. Original post was created in Jul-05, some of the contents may not have been updated.
  2. I'll stop updating this post on a weekly basis and will now do it on a quarterly basis, after the quarterly reporting period, to reflect the latest in REITs.

Background
During the past couple of years or so, interest in REITs had been very high, with good capital gains made by unit holders in all the REITs. After a decline in REITs prices in my last update on 6-Jan (CMT new units issue were even undersubscribed), most hv recovered (except MMP)and even reached new highs. MLT, AREIT, CMT and CCT continues with their acquisitions while new REITs (ART 1-for-5 issue @ $0.68 to Ascott s/h , Keppel 1-for-5 issue to Kepland s/h and AllCo IPO @ $1) will soon make their mkt presence.

But, as local REITs are very much still growing up from its infancy stage, I believe money can still be made by being selective on our investments.

MapleTree, CCT, A-REIT still have room to grow locally, but CMT and even MapleTree will likely move up to the next level and expand overseas soon. Local competition-wise, REITs in shopping malls is currently the most intense, with CMT vs Suntec vs Prime and new REIT (CentrePoint) coming on-line soon. CCT will have to face off KepLand this year in the Office Bldgs arena and we may see others like UOL coming in. A-REIT will also likely face off Cambridge REIT (group of private Industrial Property owners being organised by Finian Tan) soon. I wonder if we'll see some mergers in the longer run.

Other countries like HK and Malaysia are also taking the cue fm S'pore's success and are launching their own REITs. I'm sure this will impact our mkt in the longer term as foreign investors start to switch their funds out of S'pore for more attractive yields and growth prospects of foreign REITs. Lastly, watch the bank interest rate very closely as this will strongly affect the price of REITs. With coupon rate for both 3-mths T-Bills at 2.67%, my personal thoughts on Risk vs Yield have been adjusted up by 0.5% on 6-Jan-06,

It's of course not so simple as just yield vs risk. Look at other things like NAV, asset base, potential growth, quality of assets and mgmt, parentage,... and draw your own conclusions :D

At its peak in 2005, REITs accounted for 60% of my profits and forms more than 40% of my portfolio. But, with the danger seen in increasing interest rates, I hv reduced my exposure to REITs. At end-2005, REIT accounted for ~45% of my profit and forms ~17% of my portfolio. I don't expect to be able to replicate the same profit level in 2006 and will be maintaining REITs at aro' 20% of my portfolio, more as a defensive measure.

Yield Data
Data for S'pore listed REITs are as fllws,


REITPeriodDPU (cents)Mkt PriceAnnualised YieldNAVAssets Type
CMTQ3 : End-Sep '05

2.55

S$2.29

4.454%

$1.52

Shopping Malls
CCTQ3 : End-Sep '05

1.81

S$1.52

4.763%

$1.58

Office Buildings
MapleTree

Q3 : End-Sep '05

4.47

S$1.00

4.492%

$0.57

Industrial Buildings - Logistics Warehouses
A-REITQ2 : End-Sep '05

2.91

S$2.00

5.820%

$1.21

Industrial Buildings - Factories
SuntecQ4 : End-Sep '05

1.605

S$1.10

5.836%

$1.06

Shopping Malls + Office Bldgs
FortuneQ3 : End-Sep '05

HK8.247

HK$5.75

5.737%

HK$6.68

HK Shopping Malls

MMP

NA

NA

S$0.95

5.284%

S$1.03

Shopping Malls + Office Bldgs

NOTE : Mkt Price is as on 6-Jan-06

Results Announcements (Not Updated)

Dividends xd (Not Updated)

Other Dates (Not Updated)

Comments

Disclaimer : The above are my own opinions only. Do not rely on it for your investment decisions


Comments:
BT, Published September 17, 2005

CMT prepares for eventual overseas property foray

China, Japan are likely targets when the Singapore market is saturated

CAPITAMALL Trust (CMT) - whose shopping centre portfolio has grown from $890 million to $3.3 billion since listing three years ago - has plans to look beyond Singapore. But for now, its focus will still be on the Singapore market as it seeks to achieve a portfolio size of $4-5 billion within the next three years.

The longer term plan for the shopping centre trust is to eye overseas mall acquisitions, particularly in China and Japan.

'We have got enough confirmation from unit-holders that they are not averse to CMT owning foreign properties,' Pua Seck Guan, CEO of CapitaMall Trust Management Ltd, manager of CMT, told reporters yesterday after a briefing to announce plans by the trust to seek unit-holders' approval to raise over $400 million to help pay for its recent acquisition of Parco Bugis Junction mall.

'Everybody knows Singapore is a small market. So we may have to look beyond Singapore after the next few years. We have to think long term for CMT, and acquiring overseas properties will not be an agenda adverse to CMT. And in the region, the big opportunities are in China and Japan,' said Mr Pua.

A natural pipeline of acquisition would be parent CapitaLand's investments in China. CapitaLand has a tie-up to invest in malls in China developed by Shenzhen International Trust & Investment Company (Szitic) and anchored by US retailing giant Wal-Mart.

By end-2010, the plan is to have at least 100 malls across China. As for the upcoming equity-raising exercise, existing CMT unit-holders will be given a one-for-10 preferential offer and that, too, at a discount of up to one per cent from the issue price of the units.

However, parent CapitaLand will not be taking up its entitlement to help boost the trust's free float and liquidity. The exercise should reduce CapitaLand's stake in the trust from 38.7 per cent to 33 per cent.

Existing unit-holders will be offered about 73.9 million of the total of about 172.7 million new units that CMT is planning to issue. The remaining 98.8 million units will comprise an offer to the public through DBS Bank ATMs as well as a private placement to retail and institutional investors.

Unit-holders will vote on the equity raising, the Parco Bugis Junction acquisition and other matters at an extraordinary general meeting on Oct 6.

The equity fund raising, which is underwritten by DBS Bank and UBS, is expected to begin latest by end-October.

The issue price will be determined closer to the date when equity raising begins.

The equity raising will partially finance CMT's recent acquisitions of Parco Bugis Junction and Jurong Entertainment Centre as well as bridge loans taken for the trust's purchase of Sembawang Shopping Centre and Hougang Plaza earlier this year.

CMT also aims to borrow up to $433 million through a seven-year term loan facility.

The four recent acquisitions will be yield accretive to unit-holders.

Parco Bugis Junction's stabilised property yield for next year of 5.3 per cent is higher than the 4.3 per cent current consolidated implied property yield for the trust's existing five properties, comprising Tampines Mall, Junction 8, Plaza Singapura, IMM Building and Funan DigitaLife Mall.

Unit-holders can expect a higher distribution per unit (DPU) of 10.65 cents in 2005, and 10.88 cents in 2006 following the recent four acquisitions, representing improvements of 5.1 and 5.8 per cent respectively from CMT's revised DPU forecast of 10.13 cents for 2005 and 10.28 cents in 2006 from the existing five assets.

CMT officials also highlighted the future growth profile of all their assets from asset enhancements - like decanting space on higher floors of malls and transferring it to lower floors which can command higher rents, changing mall layout and improving tenancy mix to extract higher rentals.

And some of the malls - Jurong Entertainment Centre, Hougang Plaza and Sembawang Shopping Centre - have utilised plot ratios (ratio of maximum gross floor area to land area) that are significantly lower than those of neighbouring sites.

CMT has made applications to the authorities to tap higher plot ratios and if these are granted, it could embark on redeveloping the properties - provided such schemes are more yield accretive than the current planned asset enhancement works which would be on a smaller scale.
 
BT, Published September 17, 2005

Unlocking value at Bugis Junction

CAPITAMALL Trust Management Ltd chief executive Pua Seck Guan says he is not averse to the mall's anchor tenant Seiyu department store moving out of Parco Bugis Junction mall when its rental review comes up in April 2007, as that would enable CMT to unlock the value of the property.

Seiyu occupies about 57 per cent of the mall, paying a monthly rental of $4-$5 psf, which weighs down current average rental rate at the mall to just $8 psf - or 37 per cent lower than the average rate at CMT's Tampines Mall, Junction 8 and Plaza Singapura.

Seiyu has a long-term lease expiring in April 2015 with a four-year rental review. But Seiyu does not need to quit the mall before CMT can start 'unlocking the value' of some of the space it occupies. All the trust wants as a first step is to lay its hands on the space in the basement and specialty areas on part of level one that Seiyu currently sub-lets to other tenants and concessionaires. CMT can then directly lease out these areas at higher, market rentals. Doing this can generate an additional $2.2 million a year in rental revenue.
 
BT, Published September 20, 2005

A step closer to Reit for Finian Tan?

CSE in sale and leaseback deal with firm linked with venture capitalist

A $7.5 MILLION property deal announced yesterday demonstrates that venture capitalist Finian Tan is working towards establishing his planned independent real estate investment trust (Reit).

In June, Dr Tan told BT that he would do so through Harvard Fund Management, in which his private equity firm Vickers Financial Group had a stake. In early July the company changed its name, re-emerging as Cambridge Real Estate Investment Management (Creim).

Yesterday, mainboard-listed systems integrator CSE Global said that it has entered into a proposed sale and leaseback agreement with Creim to dispose of its leasehold building at 2 Ubi View.

Under the $7.5 million deal, CSE will sell the building to Creim and lease it back for 10 years.

Commenting on the proposed purchase, Creim CEO Chan Wang Kin said: 'The building is a quality building, well located in the central Ubi Industrial Estate. It is a good tenant with a long 10-year lease. This, in turn, will provide the planned Cambridge industrial Reit good stable income and add to the attractiveness of the Reit portfolio.''

CSE's rent will be $536,000 during the first year. At the start of the fourth and seventh year of the lease term, the rental increase will be at the fixed rate of 7 per cent above the preceding year's rent.

In its filing to the Singapore Exchange, CSE said the proposed sale is subject to the 'listing and quotation of the proposed industrial real estate investment trust (Reit) on SGX-ST'.

Earlier reports have quoted Creim as targeting a portfolio worth $500 million. If this proposed listing is successful, it will be Singapore's eighth Reit. The other seven are Suntec, Fortune, CapitaMall, CapitaCommercial, Ascendas, and Mapletree, as well as Prime, which debuts today.

CSE added that the proposed sale of the property is expected to improve and enhance its financial position. It intends to use the sale proceeds towards paying off some of its $56.2 million in bank borrowing.

It also estimates that with the completion of the sale the group's net gearing position will fall to 0.4, from 0.5 as at the end of March.

CSE states that the sale is not expected to disrupt its normal business operations as the lease agreement will 'provide CSE with continuous use of the property'.

CSE last month announced a 5 per cent drop in net profit to $3.685 million for the three months to June 30. Its stock closed 1 cent lower, at $0.785 yesterday.
 
A-REIT to raise up to $240m to partly fund acquisition of 12 properties

Ascendas REIT is planning to raise up to S$240 million to partly fund the acquisition of 12 properties.

This includes an issue of up to 103.1 million new units to raise some S$217 million.

The units will be priced between $2.10 and $2.15 each.

The offer comprises a preferential offering of up to 64.5 million units to existing unit holders on a non-renounceable basis of one new unit for every 20 existing units.

There is also a private placement of the balance to retail and institutional investors.

In addition, up to 11.2 million new units will be issued to Ascendas Land to partly finance the acquisition of Techview.

A-REIT closed at $2.19 a unit in trade on Tuesday. - CNA/ir
 
21 September 2005 – Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (“A-REIT”) is pleased to announce that the issue price for its equity fund raising has been agreed between Ascendas-MGM Funds Management Limited (the “Manager”), the manager of A-REIT and Citigroup Global Markets Singapore Pte. Ltd, following an accelerated book building process carried out on 20 September 2005. At S$2.13 per new unit in A-REIT (“Unit”), the issue price is a 2.9% discount to the volume weighted average price of Units based on all trades in the Units on Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited (the “SGX-ST”) for one and a half market days from 19 September 2005 up to the time trading on the SGX-ST closed at 12.30 p.m. on 20 September 2005. Consequently, the aggregate number of new Units being offered under the equity fund raising is approximately 101.8 million, which will raise gross proceeds of S$216.9 million. The private placement of new Units launched yesterday generated over S$350 million worth of demand from institutional and retail investors.

A preferential offering of between 58.5 million and 64.5 million new Units to Singapore Registered Unitholders on a non-renounceable basis of 1 new Unit for every 20 existing Units held on the Books Closure Date, (fractions of a new unit to be disregarded and subject to the rounding mechanism), will commence on 23 September 2005 at the issue price of S$2.13 per new Unit.

Said Mr Tan Ser Ping, Chief Executive Officer of the Manager, “We are very pleased with the strong support from both existing and new investors for the private placement. We believe the preferential offering to our existing unitholders is attractively priced and rewards them for their continued support. We will continue to strive to deliver predictable distributions and capital stability to our unitholders.”

The new Units will rank equally in all respects with the then existing Units, including the right to any distributions which may be paid for that period from the date the new Units are issued (expected to be 5 October 2005) to 31 December 2005 as well as all distributions thereafter.
 
Excellent information, I like your post.

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